Predictions put into Practice: a Quasi-Experimental Evaluation of Chicago's Predictive Policing Pilot
"In 2013, the Chicago Police Department conducted a pilot of a predictive
policing program designed to reduce gun violence. The program included
development of a Strategic Subjects List (SSL) of people estimated to be
at highest risk of gun violence who were then referred to local police
commanders for a preventive intervention. The purpose of this study is
to identify the impact of the pilot on individual- and city-level gun
violence, and to test possible drivers of results.
Individuals on the SSL are not more or less likely to become a victim of
a homicide or shooting than the comparison group, and this is further
supported by city-level analysis. The treated group is more likely to be
arrested for a shooting.
It is not clear how the predictions should be used in the field. One
potential reason why being placed on the list resulted in an increased
chance of being arrested for a shooting is that some officers may have
used the list as leads to closing shooting cases. The results provide
for a discussion about the future of individual-based predictive
policing programs."
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Showing posts with label Chicago. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Chicago. Show all posts
Unlearning Gun Violence
In 1995, an epidemiologist named Gary Slutkin returned to the United
States from Africa where he had spent the previous decade helping
Africans stem the spread of diseases like tuberculosis, AIDS and
cholera. “I was exhausted,” he said in a TED Talk earlier this year. “I wanted to come home and take a break.”
Once back in Chicago, however, friends kept telling him about the
epidemic of violence in inner-city neighborhoods. As he began to study
the problem he came to the view that gun violence in poor neighborhoods
did indeed resemble the epidemics he had treated in Africa. Maps that
charted gun violence showed clustering — just like maps tracking
infectious diseases. The greatest predictor of violence was a prior
violent incident, which also mirrors epidemics.
In 2000, he founded CeaseFire (now known as Cure Violence),
a Chicago-based organization that treated violence in one such local
cluster — in West Garfield, one of the toughest neighborhoods in the
city — as a public health problem rather than a criminal justice issue.
Shootings dropped dramatically.
34 People Were Shot In Chicago On July 4
As the country celebrated July 4, Chicago saw another day where gun violence claimed dozens of victims, with six people killed and 28 left wounded. The youngest of those wounded included two boys, ages 5 and 7, who were celebrating the holiday with their families.
Chicago has had a particularly terrible record on gun violence the last couple years. In 2012, it had more gun homicides than New York City despite having one-third the population. And on Father’s Day Weekend this year, another 46 people were shot in one of Chicago’s deadliest 72 hours of 2013.
Despite these numbers, police say Chicago gun violence for the first half of 2013 is at its lowest in nearly 50 years, with about 25 percent fewer shootings and murders compared to the same period in 2012. Even though Chicago is experiencing fewer gun homicides this year, the violence disproportionately costs low-income, minority communities the most: Close to 90 percent of murders and violent crimes occur in low-income areas where mostly black and Latino people live, and nearly half of Chicago homicide victims are under age 25.
Read on...
Chicago has had a particularly terrible record on gun violence the last couple years. In 2012, it had more gun homicides than New York City despite having one-third the population. And on Father’s Day Weekend this year, another 46 people were shot in one of Chicago’s deadliest 72 hours of 2013.
Despite these numbers, police say Chicago gun violence for the first half of 2013 is at its lowest in nearly 50 years, with about 25 percent fewer shootings and murders compared to the same period in 2012. Even though Chicago is experiencing fewer gun homicides this year, the violence disproportionately costs low-income, minority communities the most: Close to 90 percent of murders and violent crimes occur in low-income areas where mostly black and Latino people live, and nearly half of Chicago homicide victims are under age 25.
Read on...
Welcome, Nato, to Chicago's police state
The Nato summit will come and go, but Mayor Emanuel has authorised a 'new normal' of militarised social control in Chicago
With Nato delegates arriving Saturday night, the City of Chicago has been turned into a police state. Courtesy of Mayor Rahm Emanuel, who several months ago began implementing new draconian anti-protest measures, Chicago has gone on security lockdown. Starting early Friday night, 18 May 2012, the Chicago Police Department began shutting down – prohibiting cars, bikes, and pedestrians – miles and miles of highways and roads in the heart of Chicago to create a security perimeter around downtown and McCormick Place (where the Nato summit is being held).
Eight-foot tall, anti-scale security fencing went up all over that perimeter and downtown, including Grant Park; and the Chicago police – as well as myriad other federal, state, and local law enforcement agencies, such as the FBI and the US secret service – were out in force on riot-geared horses, bikes, and patrols – batons at the ready. Philadelphia Police Department is sending over reinforcements to help out; Chicago has also asked for recruits from police departments in Milwaukee and Charlotte-Mecklenburg, NC. Meanwhile, F-16 warplanes "screamed through the skies as part of a pre-summit defense exercise" and helicopters hovered incessantly.
Read on...
Here's a link to some pictures from the Guardian's Facebook page. Tom
http://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.461756157184790.124189.456740217686384&type=1
With Nato delegates arriving Saturday night, the City of Chicago has been turned into a police state. Courtesy of Mayor Rahm Emanuel, who several months ago began implementing new draconian anti-protest measures, Chicago has gone on security lockdown. Starting early Friday night, 18 May 2012, the Chicago Police Department began shutting down – prohibiting cars, bikes, and pedestrians – miles and miles of highways and roads in the heart of Chicago to create a security perimeter around downtown and McCormick Place (where the Nato summit is being held).
Eight-foot tall, anti-scale security fencing went up all over that perimeter and downtown, including Grant Park; and the Chicago police – as well as myriad other federal, state, and local law enforcement agencies, such as the FBI and the US secret service – were out in force on riot-geared horses, bikes, and patrols – batons at the ready. Philadelphia Police Department is sending over reinforcements to help out; Chicago has also asked for recruits from police departments in Milwaukee and Charlotte-Mecklenburg, NC. Meanwhile, F-16 warplanes "screamed through the skies as part of a pre-summit defense exercise" and helicopters hovered incessantly.
Read on...
Here's a link to some pictures from the Guardian's Facebook page. Tom
http://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.461756157184790.124189.456740217686384&type=1
The Occupy Chicago Arrests: Rahm Emanuel's 'Dry Run' for G8 and Nato?
Never mind free speech, Chicago's mayor wanted to show protesters who was boss ahead of May's summits, says attorney
The most interesting revelation from Wednesday's mass court hearing at the Daley Center in Chicago on the Occupy arrests – probably the single largest joined criminal case in the Chicago's history – was the suggestion that Rahm Emanuel may have personally ordered the arrests of the peaceful Occupy Chicago protesters back in Grant Park in October 2011. At least one of the affidavits submitted by Thomas Durkin, a lead attorney for the defendants, suggested that. As Durkin argued:
"This was Mayor Rahm Emanuel being Mr Tough Guy to show the world that they can come for G8 and Nato. It's as simple as that. There was no need to make mass arrests on this night. There was no need to show Mr Tough Guy. It was a show of force. It was stupid."
The evidence is starting to point that way. Shortly before 11pm, on Saturday 15 October, a police supervisor with rank told the Occupy protesters that they were going to be allowed to stay in Grant Park and protest, so long as they kept the volume down. It was actually an ironic moment when the "human microphone" started urging protesters, in its uniquely reiterative way, to be quiet so that guests in the neighboring hotels could sleep. It had a surreal element to it – but that fit nicely with the performative aspects of the Occupy movement.
They've got to stop having these G8, G20, NATO meetings. Period. Or at least stop having them in cities. Couldn't they just video conference on Skype....for free? Tom
Gun owner ID cards soar in Chicago
Chicago has seen a 16 percent spike in the number of people holding state firearm owner’s identification cards in the past two years, state officials said Wednesday.
About 122,000 people possessed FOID cards at the beginning of this year compared to 105,000 at the beginning of 2010, said Monique Bond, spokeswoman for the Illinois State Police.
Illinois residents must possess a FOID card to buy guns in the state.
Illinois State Police officials check an applicant’s identification and background before issuing a card.
I wonder why? Tom
Infamous Police Commander Who Oversaw Torture of Over 100 Prisoners Awaits His Sentence
The depressing Jon Burge saga in Chicago reinforces the notion that racial bias is part of the institutional gene pool of the nation's police departments.
G. Flint Taylor should be basking in the glow of vindication as he awaits the January 20 sentencing of Jon Burge, the retired Chicago police commander convicted for lying about a ring of torturing cops he led.
A federal jury found Burge guilty on two counts of obstruction of justice and one count of perjury last June. Taylor and the firm he co-founded, the Chicago-based Peoples Law Office, have represented several of the more than 100 black men victimized by Burge’s torture corps and have been trying to bring the rogue cop to justice for more than 20 years.
A Powerful Idea on Youth Violence
Published: November 4, 2009
As a former beat cop, Ron Huberman, the new chief of public schools in Chicago, learned long ago that violence among young urban people could not be solved simply by hauling ever larger numbers of children off to jail.
With the prompting and support of his boss, Mayor Richard M. Daley, Mr. Huberman is trying a new approach to the violence that has killed and maimed hundreds of young people and turned Chicago’s poorest neighborhoods into precincts of terror and despair.
The ambitious plan will offer mentoring, counseling and jobs to high-risk students. To determine who they are, Mr. Huberman analyzed the cases of more than 500 young people who were killed or wounded in gun violence over the last two years. The analysis suggests that nearly 10,000 of the city’s 113,000 high school students are at risk of becoming victims of gun violence and need help.Read on...
A New York Times editorial. Tom
Prisoners Freed From Sentences Based on Torture-Induced Confession
By TChris, Section Innocence Cases
Posted on Wed Jul 08, 2009 at 07:16:00 AM EST
Posted on Wed Jul 08, 2009 at 07:16:00 AM EST
Torture extorts false confessions, a fact that was apparently irrelevant to interrogators who tortured detainees suspected of terrorism. The unreliability of torture-induced confessions was equally irrelevant to former Chicago Police Cmdr. Jon Burge. In a series of posts dating back to 2003, TalkLeft followed the developing evidence of Burge's aggressive interrogation practices to this conclusion:
Burge and the detectives under his command found unchecked power to torture suspects, primarily black, on the south side of Chicago.
After the evidence of Burge's reliance on torture became too overwhelming to ignore, more than twenty cases that hinged on confessions given to Burge or his detectives were reviewed by the state attorney general's office. Yesterday, as a result of that review, Ronald Kitchen and Marvin Reeves were freed from prison after serving 21 years for multiple murders. The strongest evidence against them was Kitchen's torture-induced confession. [more ...]
You don't have to go to Guantanamo to get tortured. Only as far as the south side of Chicago. Tom
Can Private Security Guards Act As Cops?
That's Exactly What They May Soon Be Doing On The Far South Side
They're private security guards, already on patrol, but they may soon have the powers of Chicago Police officers.
As CBS 2 Chief Correspondent Jay Levine reports, the private security officers now on patrol on the city's Far South Side are expected to have their powers expanded as part of a citywide ordinance now being prepared.
But officials are questioning whether this means public safety is being outsourced.
Mayor Richard M. Daley has already privatized many city functions. The Chicago Skyway has been leased to a Spanish conglomerate. Midway Airport is run by a Canadian company. The parking meters were sold to a firm run by Morgan Stanley, and as a result, the cost of parking in the city has skyrocketed.
Read on...
They're private security guards, already on patrol, but they may soon have the powers of Chicago Police officers.
As CBS 2 Chief Correspondent Jay Levine reports, the private security officers now on patrol on the city's Far South Side are expected to have their powers expanded as part of a citywide ordinance now being prepared.
But officials are questioning whether this means public safety is being outsourced.
Mayor Richard M. Daley has already privatized many city functions. The Chicago Skyway has been leased to a Spanish conglomerate. Midway Airport is run by a Canadian company. The parking meters were sold to a firm run by Morgan Stanley, and as a result, the cost of parking in the city has skyrocketed.
Read on...
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