Do Minimum Wage Increases Raise Crime Rates?
"They do for younger workers and property crimes, finds a new paper by Zachary S. Fone, Joseph J. Sabia and Resul Cesur.
Back in 2016, President Obama’s Council of Economic Advisors (CEA)
claimed raising the minimum wage to $12 per hour could prevent up to
half a million crimes annually. The basic idea was simple: there is good
evidence criminal behavior is negatively related to wages. The CEA
thought raising the minimum wage would raise the opportunity cost of
low-paid workers engaging in crime.
Implicitly they were saying this crime-reduction effect would
dominate any impact of job losses or hour reductions leading to more
property crime, for economic reasons, or violent crime, for
despair-related reasons. But this new paper suggests the CEA’s intuition
on the balance of the effects was wrong, for younger workers
especially."
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